Arauz obtained fewer votes than the null vote. Of these, Azuay and Tungurahua are the fifth and seventh provinces with the highest number of voters, while Cotopaxi and Chimborazo have a considerable number of voters. There is another way to propose mobile phone number list this argument: rather than lose against Lasso, Arauz lost against the invalid vote. Who would have won if the null had been 10%-11% instead of 16.2%, as it happened? Or more appropriately mobile phone number list to illustrate the same point, who would have won if only 10%-15% of Yaku Pérez's votes had turned into null votes?
In the extreme, who would have won if none of Pérez's votes had become null? The answer: Arauz. It is due to the massive invalid vote that Arauz, having mobile phone number list had a considerable advantage of 13 percentage points over Lasso, grows very modestly in the percentage of valid votes in all provinces between the first and second rounds. Lasso, for his part, obtains slightly more votes than expected (that is, assuming several reasonable assumptions regarding the votes of the other candidates), but grows considerably in the percentage of valid votes in all mobile phone number list provinces between the first and second rounds. of the presidential elections.
A comment to finish. What has been said here mobile phone number list does not ignore the merit or effectiveness of Lasso's campaign in the weeks prior to the elections, the failures of Arauz's campaign, or any of the endless list of factors that contributed to the final result. On the contrary, all we do is point out what is, perhaps, the most immediate mechanical reason in the causal sense that explains Lasso's victory, given the results that we observe.